Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.023845 0.025652 0.027537 0.029653 0.031965 0.034416 0.037217
2024-12-22 0.020360 0.022856 0.025595 0.028832 0.032566 0.036753 0.041821
2024-12-29 0.018245 0.021143 0.024446 0.028508 0.033395 0.039119 0.046378
2025-01-05 0.016671 0.019817 0.023513 0.028206 0.034051 0.041151 0.050515
2025-01-12 0.015257 0.018521 0.022453 0.027581 0.034159 0.042399 0.053642
2025-01-19 0.014491 0.017933 0.022176 0.027852 0.035334 0.044986 0.058589
2025-01-26 0.013705 0.017249 0.021709 0.027808 0.036048 0.046962 0.062803
2025-02-02 0.013174 0.016846 0.021557 0.028137 0.037237 0.049603 0.068071
2025-02-09 0.012476 0.016175 0.021002 0.027869 0.037564 0.051041 0.071692
2025-02-16 0.011904 0.015636 0.020582 0.027743 0.038057 0.052708 0.075724
2025-02-23 0.011354 0.015093 0.020121 0.027521 0.038376 0.054116 0.079431
2025-03-02 0.010921 0.014686 0.019823 0.027502 0.038972 0.055941 0.083879
2025-03-09 0.010393 0.014125 0.019284 0.027111 0.039000 0.056926 0.087096
2025-03-16 0.009857 0.013529 0.018667 0.026569 0.038763 0.057476 0.089634
2025-03-23 0.009449 0.013097 0.018264 0.026319 0.038950 0.058685 0.093331
2025-03-30 0.009066 0.012684 0.017867 0.026054 0.039087 0.059809 0.096941
2025-04-06 0.008627 0.012169 0.017295 0.025487 0.038706 0.060050 0.099015
2025-04-13 0.008435 0.012012 0.017250 0.025734 0.039644 0.062518 0.105205
2025-04-20 0.008181 0.011750 0.017032 0.025695 0.040103 0.064195 0.110073
2025-04-27 0.008026 0.011632 0.017029 0.025994 0.041136 0.066910 0.117069
2025-05-04 0.007749 0.011315 0.016702 0.025750 0.041228 0.067975 0.121001
2025-05-11 0.007518 0.011061 0.016463 0.025636 0.041534 0.069430 0.125787
2025-05-18 0.007280 0.010786 0.016180 0.025433 0.041671 0.070578 0.130043